iHEA Congress, July 2023
Identify theoretical and methodological differences between different economic evaluation techniques.
Understand the concepts of summary measures of health, including quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs).
Be familiar with the steps of valuing costs in economic evaluations.
Introduction to Economic Evaluations
Types of Economic Evaluations
Who Uses Economic Evaluations
Valuing Health Outcomes
QALYs (briefly)
DALYs (focus of lecture)
Valuing Costs
Relevant when decision alternatives have different costs and health consequences.
We want to measure the relative value of one strategy in comparison to others.
This can help us make resource allocation decisions in the face of constraints (e.g., budget).
Type of study | Measurement/Valuation of costs both alternative | Identification of consequences | Measurement / valuation of consequences |
---|---|---|---|
Cost analysis | Monetary units | None | None |
Source: (Drummond et al. 2015)
Only looks at healthcare costs
Relevant when alternative options are equally effective (provide equal benefits)
Costs are valued in monetary terms (e.g., U.S. dollars)
Decision criterion: often to minimize cost
Type of study | Measurement/Valuation of costs both alternative | Identification of consequences | Measurement / valuation of consequences |
---|---|---|---|
Cost analysis | Monetary units | None | None |
Cost-effectiveness analysis | Monetary units | Single effect of interest, common to both alternatives, but achieved to different degrees. | Natural units (e.g., life-years gained, disability days saved, points of blood pressure reduction, etc.) |
Source: (Drummond et al. 2015)
Most useful when decision makers consider multiple options within a budget, and the relevant outcome is common across strategies
Suppose we are interested in the prolongation of life after an intervention.
Outcome of interest: life-years gained.
The outcome is common to alternative strategies; they differ only in the magnitude of life-years gained.
We can report results in terms of $/Life-years gained
Type of study | Measurement/Valuation of costs both alternative | Identification of consequences | Measurement / valuation of consequences |
---|---|---|---|
Cost analysis | Monetary units | None | None |
Cost-effectiveness analysis | Monetary units | Single effect of interest, common to both alternatives, but achieved to different degrees. | Natural units (e.g., life-years gained, disability days saved, points of blood pressure reduction, etc.) |
Cost-utility analysis | Monetary units | Single or multiple effects, not necessarily common to both alternatives. | Healthy years (typically measured as quality-adjusted life-years) |
Source: (Drummond et al. 2015)
We will focus mostly on CEA (especially CUA) throughout the workshop
Type of study | Measurement/Valuation of costs both alternative | Identification of consequences | Measurement / valuation of consequences |
---|---|---|---|
Cost analysis | Monetary units | None | None |
Cost-effectiveness analysis | Monetary units | Single effect of interest, common to both alternatives, but achieved to different degrees. | Natural units (e.g., life-years gained, disability days saved, points of blood pressure reduction, etc.) |
Cost-utility analysis | Monetary units | Single or multiple effects, not necessarily common to both alternatives. | Healthy years (typically measured as quality-adjusted life-years) |
Cost-benefit analysis | Monetary units | Single or multiple effects, not necessarily common to both alternatives | Monetary units |
Health Technology Advisory Committees
PBAC (Pharmaceutical Benefits Advisory Committee in Australia)
Canada’s Drug and Health Technology Agency
NICE (The National Institute for Health and Care Excellence, UK)
Brazil’s health technology assessment institute
Groups developing clinical guidelines
WHO
CDC
Disease-specific organizations: American Cancer Society; American Heart Association; European Stroke Organisation
Regulatory agencies:
FDA (U.S. Food and Drug Administration)
EPA (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency)
Decision modeling / economic evaluation requires identifying strategies or alternative courses of action.
These alternatives could include different therapies / policies / technologies.
Or, our alternatives could capture different combinations or sequences of treatment (e.g., what dose? what age to start?)
Once we have identified the alternatives, we’ll want to quantify their associated consequences in terms of:
Health outcomes
Costs
\[ \frac{\text{(Cost Intervention A - Cost Intervention B)}}{\text{(Benefit A - Benefit B)}}\]
QALYs and DALYs both provide a summary measure of health
Allows comparison of health attainment / burden across diseases
Across diseases
Across populations
Across interventions
Over time etc.
Origin story: welfare economics
With QALYs, two dimensions of interest:
length of life (measured in life-years)
quality of life (measured by utility weight, usually between 0 and 1)
QALY: A metric that reflects both changes in life expectancy and quality of life (pain, function, or both)
1 = perfect health; 0= death;
Sum of weight*duration of life = quality-adjusted life expectancy
In QALYs: 7.875 – 6.625 QALYs = 1.25 QALYs
In life years: 10 years – 10 years = 0 LYs
Utility weights for most health states are between 0 (death) and 1 (perfect health)
Direct methods
Standard gamble
Time trade-Off
Rating scales
Indirect methods:
EQ-5D
Other utility instrument: SF-36; Health Utilities Index (HUI)
QALY: “0” = death; “1” = perfect health
DALY: “0” = perfect health; “1” = death
Source: ghcearegistry.org
A measure of population ill-health based on “years of life lost” due to premature mortality (Anand & Reddy LSE 2019).
Origin story: Global Burden of Disease Study
Deliberately a measure of health, not welfare/utility
Similar to QALYs, two dimensions of interest:
length of life (differences in life expectancy)
quality of life or morbidity (measured by disability weight)
DALYs = YLL + YLD
Years of Life Lost (YLL): changes in life expectancy; time lost due to premature mortality
Different approaches to identifying the time lost due to premature mortality:
Exogenous: Maximum length of life observed in modern world, i.e., “synthetic life table”; irrespective of country and socioeconomic characterstics/etc. where death occurs
Endogenous: Dependent on a person’s country of residence & other factors in which the death occurs
Simulation-based: Apply 1-disability weight to each health state; based on life expectancy from model for a specific disease cohort (e.g., CVD; life expectancy might be different than whole population)
Approach depends on purpose of study
Source: Anand & Reddy LSE 2019
DALYs = YLL + YLD
Example: The overall disease burden of someone with HIV and not on treatment
Age | Life Expectancy | Age | Life Expectancy |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 88.9 | 50 | 39.6 |
1 | 88.0 | 55 | 34.9 |
5 | 84.0 | 60 | 30.3 |
10 | 79.0 | 65 | 25.7 |
15 | 74.1 | 70 | 21.3 |
20 | 69.1 | 75 | 17.1 |
25 | 64.1 | 80 | 13.2 |
30 | 59.2 | 85 | 10.0 |
35 | 54.3 | 90 | 7.6 |
40 | 49.3 | 95 | 5.9 |
45 | 44.4 |
Source: http://ghdx.healthdata.org/record/ihme-data/global-burden-disease-study-2019-gbd-2019-reference-life-table
DALYs = YLL + YLD
Now suppose that untreated HIV would render someone 50% disabled for the final 10 years of their life
Overall disease burden due to untreated HIV can be represented as: 39.6 + 5 = 44.6 total DALYs
Now let’s look at the DALY effect of treatment
YLL: Providing HIV treatment extends life by 20 years compared to no treatment (an individual with HIV now lives until 70 years on treatment)
Age | Life Expectancy | Age | Life Expectancy |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 88.9 | 50 | 39.6 |
1 | 88.0 | 55 | 34.9 |
5 | 84.0 | 60 | 30.3 |
10 | 79.0 | 65 | 25.7 |
15 | 74.1 | 70 | 21.3 |
20 | 69.1 | 75 | 17.1 |
25 | 64.1 | 80 | 13.2 |
30 | 59.2 | 85 | 10.0 |
35 | 54.3 | 90 | 7.6 |
40 | 49.3 | 95 | 5.9 |
45 | 44.4 |
Source: http://ghdx.healthdata.org/record/ihme-data/global-burden-disease-study-2019-gbd-2019-reference-life-table
Age | Life Expectancy | Age | Life Expectancy |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 88.9 | 50 | 39.6 |
1 | 88.0 | 55 | 34.9 |
5 | 84.0 | 60 | 30.3 |
10 | 79.0 | 65 | 25.7 |
15 | 74.1 | 70 | 21.3 |
20 | 69.1 | 75 | 17.1 |
25 | 64.1 | 80 | 13.2 |
30 | 59.2 | 85 | 10.0 |
35 | 54.3 | 90 | 7.6 |
40 | 49.3 | 95 | 5.9 |
45 | 44.4 |
Source: http://ghdx.healthdata.org/record/ihme-data/global-burden-disease-study-2019-gbd-2019-reference-life-table
Years of Life Lost (YLL): changes in life expectancy, calculated from comparison to synthetic life table
Note
YLL (measured as DALYs averted) \(\neq\) LYs gained!
Now let’s say that HIV treatment reduces the duration of disability of HIV from 10 years to 2.
YLL, HIV on treatment compared to HIV NOT on treatment: LE(50)-LE(70) = 21.3-39.6 = -18.3 YLLs averted
YLD, HIV on treatment compared to HIV NOT on treatment: 5 - 1 = 4 YLDs averted
TOTAL DALYs averted from treatment = 18.3 + 4 = 22.3 total DALYs averted from treatment
Years Lived with Disability (YLD): calculated similar to QALYs, utility weight ≈ 1 - disability weight
YLD example: Effective asthma control for 10 years
Disability weight (uncontrolled asthma) = ?
Disability weight (controlled asthma) = ?
Paired comparison of two health state descriptions which worse
Probit regression to calculate disability weights
235 unique health states
Years Lived with Disability (YLD): calculated similar to QALYs, utility weight ≈ 1 - disability weight
YLD example: Effective asthma control for 10 years
Disability weight (uncontrolled asthma) = 0.133
Disability weight (controlled asthma) = 0.015
YLD = 10 * 0.015 - 10 * 0.133 = -1.18 DALYs = 1.18 DALYs averted
Important
Common practice
\[ \frac{\text{(Cost Intervention A - Cost Intervention B)}}{\text{(Benefit A - Benefit B)}}\]
A common outcome is: Cost per DALY averted
Next up: Costs; though just briefly & then we will move on to CEA thresholds
Source: Gold 1996, Drummond 2015, Gray 2012)
Identify – Estimate the different categories of resources likely to be required (e.g., surgical staff, medical equipment, surgical complications, re-admissions)
Measure – Estimate how much of each resource category is required (e.g. type of staff performing the surgery and time involved, post-surgery length of stay, re-admission rates)
Value – Apply unit costs to each resource category (e.g., salary scales from the relevant hospital or national wage rates for staff inputs, cost per inpatient day for the post-surgery hospital stay)
Direct Health Care Costs
Hospital, office, home, facilities
Medications, procedures, tests, professional fees
Direct Non-Health Care Costs
Time Costs
Productivity costs (‘indirect costs’)
impaired ability to work due to morbidity?
lost economic productivity due to death?
Unrelated healthcare costs
In practice, we count what is likely to matter
Any exclusion must be noted & possible bias examined
We are constrained by what data are available
Micro-costing (bottom-up)
Gross-costing (top-down)
Ingredients-based approach (P x Q x C)
Probability of occurrence (P)
Quantity (Q)
Unit costs (C)
PERSPECTIVE MATTERS –
Formal Healthcare Sector: Medical costs borne by third-party payers & paid for out-of-pocket by patients. Should include current + future costs, related & unrelated to the condition under consideration
Societal perspective: Represents the wider “public interest” & inter-sectoral distribution of resources that are important to consider - reflects costs on all affected parties
Different ways thresholds have been estimated: - “supply-side” (UK & Europe) - “demand-side” (US) - per capita consumption (US/LMICs)
LMICs have often defined thresholds in terms of per capita consumption - consistent with the idea that people living in countries with higher incomes are able and willing to pay more for health - which makes intuitive sense
Although this threshold range roughly corresponds to what has become convention for high-income countries…
Per capita consumption in wealthier countries exceeds the per capita consumption in low & middle-income countries by one-to-two orders of magnitude & therefore, some analysts have argued that healthcare spending should represent a smaller portion of per capita GDP in low to middle income countries.
Some have argued the WHO’s guidelines may be too high and result in adoption of interventions that displace existing services that provide greater health benefit.
0.5 GDPpc may be a more appropriate benchmark for low-income countries and 0.71 GDPpc for middle-income countries (see Woods et al 2016)
GDP: Measure of actual economic output of a country
Purchasing Power Parity (PPP): Used to compare purchasing power & living standards across countries
Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) adjusted GDP; but often alongside unadjusted
Adjusting GDP using PPP may provide a more accurate measure of economic performance and living standards, allowing comparisons between countries
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